Real Madrid
RMA · #1
Predicted
2–0
11% likely
Manchester United
MUN · #8
79%
RMA
13%
Draw
8%
MUN
Today's slate
Simulated dataUpdated 17:50 UTCEvery match, modelled before kick-off
A Poisson scoreline model blends form, attack and defence rates, home advantage, head-to-head history and league standings into a single projection per fixture, refreshed automatically as fixtures update.
Fixtures modelled
17
High confidence
11
Avg. total xG
3.54
Leagues
6
Daily top picks
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Barcelona
BAR · #2
Predicted
2–0
12% likely
Sevilla
SEV · #11
75%
BAR
16%
Draw
10%
SEV
Arsenal
ARS · #2
Predicted
2–1
9% likely
Brighton
BHA · #10
72%
ARS
15%
Draw
12%
BHA
Inter Milan
INT · #1
Predicted
2–0
11% likely
Borussia Dortmund
BVB · #12
72%
INT
17%
Draw
11%
BVB
Manchester City
MCI · #1
Predicted
2–1
8% likely
Tottenham
TOT · #5
70%
MCI
16%
Draw
15%
TOT
Bayern Munich
BAY · #2
Predicted
2–1
8% likely
Tottenham
TOT · #5
63%
BAY
17%
Draw
20%
TOT
Liverpool
LIV · #3
Predicted
2–1
10% likely
Chelsea
CHE · #7
62%
LIV
19%
Draw
19%
CHE
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV · #1
Predicted
2–1
9% likely
RB Leipzig
RBL · #4
62%
LEV
18%
Draw
20%
RBL
Real Madrid
RMA · #1
Predicted
2–1
10% likely
Atlético Madrid
ATM · #3
61%
RMA
20%
Draw
19%
ATM
Stuttgart
STU · #3
Predicted
2–1
10% likely
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE · #6
58%
STU
21%
Draw
21%
SGE
Girona
GIR · #4
Predicted
1–1
10% likely
Real Betis
BET · #8
56%
GIR
22%
Draw
22%
BET
Manchester City
MCI · #1
Predicted
2–1
8% likely
Barcelona
BAR · #2
55%
MCI
20%
Draw
26%
BAR
Liverpool
LIV · #3
Predicted
1–1
9% likely
AC Milan
MIL · #2
49%
LIV
22%
Draw
29%
MIL
Bayern Munich
BAY · #2
Predicted
2–1
7% likely
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG · #3
47%
BAY
20%
Draw
33%
PSG
Napoli
NAP · #6
Predicted
1–1
12% likely
Roma
ROM · #5
41%
NAP
25%
Draw
34%
ROM
Manchester United
MUN · #8
Predicted
1–1
11% likely
Newcastle
NEW · #9
42%
MUN
24%
Draw
35%
NEW
Juventus
JUV · #3
Predicted
1–1
12% likely
AC Milan
MIL · #2
38%
JUV
26%
Draw
35%
MIL
Predictions are statistical estimates generated by a model, not guarantees. Goal Genius is for entertainment and analysis only and does not encourage gambling. 18+.